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LUCA SCHMITZ / ECONOMICS
Luca Schmitz
I study macroeconomic forecasting, uncertainty and monetary policy.
I am a PhD researcher at GSEFM and a research assistant at the Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability, Goethe University Frankfurt, supervised by Volker Wieland.
RESEARCH AGENDA
Beyond the point forecast.
How much can we learn about the range of possible outcomes—and which models should we trust?
Measuring
macroeconomic risk
Distributional forecasts that describe uncertainty and the tails of the outlook.
Explore HiDVAR02Learning from
many models
Comparing structural and data-driven approaches using real-time information.
Explore model comparison03Informing
monetary policy
Assessing AI, investment and productivity through euro-area scenarios.
Explore policy analysisINTERACTIVE FORECASTING PLATFORM
Macroeconomic forecasting platform
Explore a comparison of US macroeconomic forecasts from structural, statistical and machine learning approaches.
Open the forecasting platformReal-time evaluation across forecast horizons and data scenarios.
About the platform and data
EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT
From research
to policy questions.
Our report examines how artificial intelligence could affect the economy and monetary policy, including scenarios for AI diffusion and investment in the euro area.
I am an appointed member of the European Parliament’s Monetary Policy Expert Panel for 2026–2028.
CONTACT
Contact
[email protected]Research, policy analysis, forecasting tools and teaching.